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| | #1 (permalink) |
| Bronze Member Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 2
| Well after having some time off I thought I’d come back and give it another go, this time around I will be a lot more wiser in my selections in the way that if I fancy 10 horses I will point out them 10 horses but if I fancy non I just won’t post up, I will not be selecting horses just for the sake of posting. I will be setting out a different format than the way I used to write, hopefully to make things easier for me and also people reading my posts. Lastly I will be using a point system, 5 being the maximum and 1 being the minimum (a 5 point bet will be used very rarely with my selections). Maybe this new way will help me out but its just an experiment at the minute. Newton Abbot The only jumps meeting of the day but the meeting I think will be the easier to find the most winners and the first race should be no exception as Classi Maureen (2.00 - 3 points) steps up to try and take this two mile one furlong handicap hurdle. This horse looked a decent prospect when she moved to Evan William’s stable last September as he put her in a novice chase event at Plumpton where she won very easily by 14 lengths after that her next two races were poor which led to a move to another yard. Mrs D Hamer got this horse and sent her back hurdling at Towcester where she tried to make all but was just touched off into second. Her second and latest run for the yard looked very good when never seeing a rival at Uttoxeter as she used the same tactics as her Towcester run. To be honest although she has the 7lbs penalty she has a very attractive weight in this fairly weakish race, should take this race easily to me carrying this feather weight then can go onto better events. Moving one hour on I think the Hobbs trained Red Society (3.00 - 1 point ew) could run a big race now back chasing and running off a mark one pound lower than his last chasing win. Plenty of signs showing he can run a big race as he gets the very talented Dickie Johnson on board again and also running a very good second last time out at Exeter, conditions will suit. To round things off at this meeting it’s worth having a bit on the favourite, Keepitsecret (4.30 - 2 points)who will be a tough cookie to crack at this three mile three furlong marathon. Ridden by the champ once again who will show no mercy as the horse will be on the sounder ground which he prefers because when running on soft through the winter he shown no sort of form so conditions will suit. Wolverhampton I’m not a big fan of All weather racing to be honest as most of the time it’s weak horses that run their and can be sometimes hard to work the form out. But the one runner on the card today that will take plenty of beating will be the short priced Rasaman (3.15 - 3 points) who is trying to complete a hat-trick. Cost 72,000 gns which don’t mean a thing for his chances but is quite a lot of money all the same for a horse running at Wolverhampton mid-week. The only rival I can see troubling this horse could be Diamond Diva but since Handicapping the horse has not shown a lot. He’s out of a half sister to Rakti which shows this horse as class, which is why I am picking this one today as I am a strong believer that class will prevail. Statistics are on his side also as Michael Jarvis has a 50% strike rate around Wolverhampton so far this year and same goes for the master tactician Philip Robinson who only comes here for this one ride before going to Windsor on the evening. Night Racing (Windsor/Pontefract) Pontefract stages the biggest race of the day which is the one mile listed event worth nearly £20,000. The selection to some will be original but I’m going for the Ribblesdale winner Mont Etoile (8.15 - 2 points) who is a very classy horse and has been running in Group 1 company on her last two starts. Comes here today for her seasonal debut and will surely be hoping for a winning return. I couldn’t say this was my best bet of the day because the trip is not ideal really as she would want a bit further. The reason I’m still sticking with this one is because again I think class will see her through and would be a good bet if you could get odds against. Switching over to Windsor now it may be worth having a small bet on Black Moma (8.05 - 1 point ew) who races here off a 4lbs lower mark than when last seen at Newmarket in a much better race than this where she could only finish mid-division. With also having nearly two months off and Richard Hughes riding for the first time I will not be surprised to see this Hannon filly run into a place. Rasaman 3.15 Wolverhampton (NAP) 3 points Classi Maureen 2.00 Newton Abbot (NB) 3 points Thankyou and good luck Vindon |
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| | #2 (permalink) |
| Bronze Member Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 2
| Well yesterday had it’s ups and its downs, with Keepitsecret drifting right out to 4/1 which was a cracking bet really when looking at how it won, the other winner Classi Maureen won quite well in the end backed all the way into evens. The downs for the day was my well fancied nap which could only manage third in the end which I thought was a very poor effort and also my last win bet Mont Etoile just getting beat a short head which was frustrating. All the same its onwards and upwards. Looks some interesting racing today in my opinion with one or two horses running that I like which could be quite useful but not a day for any mega betting. I’ve only studied the day meetings for now as I had a late finish and got an early start at work so hopefully I can get time to study the night meeting tomorrow afternoon. Redcar This don’t look a bad meeting today with the first race being quite an interest for me as Sparton Duke (2.30 - 1 point EW) took my eye here. This horse was quite well fancied at Goodwood last time out when being backed into 4/1 but ran quite green showing all the signs of needing the run. This looks an easier race today and should improve leaps and bounds for the first run, the thing that does take my eye a lot about this horse is that it holds two Group entries at the Curragh in the near future, plus he’s entered up in the Redcar two year old trophy. If this horse can’t win this race then he will have no chance of getting a lot of prize money out of his future entries. At forecasted odds of 10/1 this looks a good bet and should make the frame. In the 3.30 event it may be worth giving Sea Rover (3.30 - 2 points) another chance after only managing 5th at York in a sprint. This horse looked a good prospect when winning on debut at Thirsk and then running an even better race but only managing second place at Newcastle where there has been some good form come out of the race. This step up to seven furlongs should suit the horse a lot better and looks the sure improver to me in this field. The one for me though will take a lot of stopping today is Soccer jackpot (4.30 - 2 points) whom should go off at a short price but again using the word ‘should’ win this race as he won going away at Beverly eventually winning by 5 lengths to ‘Medici pearl’ who then went on to win next time of asking. Soccerjackpot has got in off a good weight here and should make the most off his current mark of 77. Salisbury Moving on to Salisbury now where I think the horse which is of most interest is running in the 3.15. The John Gosden trained Cape Cobra ( 3.15 - 1 point) is reappearing here after a decent run at Newmarket when coming 4th. The reason I say this horse is interesting is because this horse is a full brother to the Japanese trained and the 2005 golden Jubilee winner Cape of good hope, so breeding looks outstanding in a race of this nature. Cape of good hope also ran a creditable race at Newmarket on its debut before winning a harder race next time out, if this Cape Cobra can run anything like his brother I’m sure he can take this race without a dought. Obviously the question mark is if the horse as any kind of ability like his older brother. John Gosden has a good strike rate around this track which is worth noting, in the last 5 seasons he has recorded a very nice 45% sr with his 3 year olds. At decent odds its worth having a little bet on this horse but as I say it could be best watched. Lastly on this card I would have one more bet on Ronaldsay (4.15 - 2 points) who won a decent handicap at York off a 6lbs lower mark than this mark today. She still put a creditable run in a listed race at Kempton but the ground couldn’t have been ideal for the filly, she bounced back to form with a small margin second but maybe the distance just stretched her that day. This small drop in distance and in a suitable grade should see her beat these rivals today although the Stoute horse won very easily last time out but I’m sure this horse has got more to offer. Sea rover 3.30 Redcar (NAP) 2 points SoccerJackpot 4.30 Redcar (NB) 2 points Thank you Vindon |
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