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Originally Posted by Fordy  Like I say, the proof will be in the pudding  |
'the proof of the pudding is in the eating' is the original and more meaningful version of the cliche...
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Originally Posted by Fordy You will be suprised to see how many clear favourites win that are over 4/1, especially in quality grade 1/2 races. If he was a 20/1 shot if wouldn't be favourite and would also not qualify in the 3.0-10.0 price ruling. |
to repeat the question, what if the market had the fav at 5/1 and
you make him a 20/1 shot?
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Originally Posted by Fordy No, but what I'm trying to say is while trading you notice certain patterns when trading before the off on a daily basis. Late on steamers, steam for a reason, and more often or not seem to be more likely winners than last mintue drifters.
I'd rather lay a drifter before the off (within my price range) than a steamer, when on paper both horses have equal chance. |
shoudn't the rule then be 'don't lay a steamer'?
what if the system says you should lay the 2nd fav 6/1 shot when there is a 2/1 fav, then the 6/1 shot starts shortening and at the off is 4/1 while the fav has lenthenged to 3/1?
By the rules of the sytem you'd still be laying a late on steamer against a drifter fav? Didn't the steamer steam for a reason?
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Originally Posted by keyser soze sports trading for a living and "testing a laying system with the following stringent rules" dont really sit together well |
quite...
The thread title 'Investor Form Lays' is the first clue that this is an attempt (albeit futile - you're on the wrong forum) to ultimately try to entice people to part with money.
The line early on in the first post "a progressive horse backing system" is the final nail in the coffin of credibility.
Fordy, for all I know you really can spot value lays in horse races. But if you can then why surround it with so much bollocks?