Quote:
Originally Posted by HARIBO  Either way -- who in their right mind would lay NED at, say, 10 or 12? When NED's price was 15, there was no way this bet would have been matched without them equalising, in which case laying NED @ 12 would be like burning money with petrol |
So then you need cases where the price would move in a bit, but not as much as it would with an equaliser
A russian sending off or a dutch free kick in a dangerous area would probably do the trick. Not saying it's correct for the price to move that much, but as said before, market often overreacts when things like this happen
You might even find some fat fingers misjudging where a foul has been committed and thinking a penalty has been given when it was only a free kick
I don't think people who operate on an outright market leaving orders to lay a team drifting out of the tournament are the sort of kind souls who like to burn their money - there will be some mugs in there but I would expect the majority of them to get their orders out the way in time if something happened which meant the true price was going to move all the way through them