Marcolini

Sporting vs Est. Amadora

Sporting will try get back to winnings. They have been playing nice, but results have been poor. Its a attitude problem, more then actually a technical or a tactical problem.

Sporting:
- Sporting has not been on the best of moments in championship. Next week they play against Porto, and if they care for a little hope on the tittle race, they can't have anything else then the 3 points in this game.
- Djaló will probably be the player replacing Liedson up front. Team will lose in presence in the box, but will gain in speed, flair and technic.
- Few newspapers talked about what player's wages mean, telling that some players dont worth the money club pays for them. Coach asked them to make a killing match and prove them wrong.

Est. Amadora:
- After a long and nice series of games without losing, Est. Amadora lost at Braga 2 weeks ago. On the game after that, they won at home 1-0, but result could have easily been 1-1 as well. Maybe their motivation is not the same it was before.
- Est. Amadora made a surprising win at Porto, with one goal in 2nd half injury time. That match showed that they were really lucky, since Porto controlled the match, created many chances, and just moments before the Est. Amadora goal, everyone was saying that even the draw was a miracle for Est. Amadora.
- Team is very good in defense, but allways lack power up front, to make opportunities, and will be hard to get back into the game against Sporting, if they conceed an early goal.

Odds:
- Big movement from -1.5 to -1.25, and already -1 can be found around 1.75-1.80. This is wrong. Maybe -1.5 could be a bit high given the current form of both teams, and the absence of Liedson. But giving -1 for Sporting in a game like this, is just wrong. Medium bet should be done on Sporting -1 @1.78.
- Line on Over/Under hardly offers any chance of value on either side.