ilunga

Third place play-off tonight. Both camps are expressing the importance of the game but surely only Germany can be trusted to put in a performance. Who knows how Portugal will approach it. I'll refrain from backing the hosts though, as the price isn't particularly appealing. With the last seven of these games producing three or more goals, I can't resist the overs at 2.26. I don't expect the kind of negative Portugal performance we saw against England. Scoalri may even drop Pauleta and plump for Postiga and Gomes. Anyway, whatever he does, I think there's value in that price.

Also backing Borowski to score anytime at 7.6. Big price considering he's likely to be given the Ballack role and is a regular scorer for Werder. Also chucked a few quid at Huth and Jansen (who will come in for Mertesacker and Friedrich) at big prices. Both like to get forward from defence.