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Old 1st July 2006, 11:14   #14 (permalink)
the_mgt
Justified Ancient of Mummu (Administrator)
 
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Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Lilliput
Age: 25
Posts: 28,354
Default Re: Thoughts on top female.

On the face of it it looks as though AO could constitute four runners,as Aiseleyne should try to preserve one of the guys.
I still go back to the situation last year when it looked for all the world to be a 3way between Makosi,Vanessa and Orlaith.
In this mkt. Makosi was a hot fav. at around 1.2 large. The opposition at the time looked pathetic and who knew about Kinga ?
Even before Kinga's late entry,Makosi had many sticky moments and not all of them in the pool !
Fast forward to BB7.Nikki is probably as outstanding as Makosi was and could never become as unpopular.The opposition looks far more formidable than last year and the newbies could be anything.
The chief factor against Nikki is that she could figure in maybe two more eviction contests.The nightmare for Nikki is being up against a newbie.The GBP have shown a marked tendency since BB6 to massively favour newbies against oldies and weak characters over strong ones.
Nikki barely scraped through against Sam and whilst her popularity has grown since then, her unpopularity has shown no sharp decline.
Imogen fully represents her last traded price (11.0) and AO has to be value at bigger than 3.0(last traded 3.2).All in all,Nikki looks a lay to me at odds on.
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