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Old 30th June 2006, 17:10   #5 (permalink)
Dave P Fanclub
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Default Re: Germany vs Argentina - a biased contrarian view

Good points, as always, colo. I'm disappointed to see Germany trading so short because I rather hope the market would continue to overrate Argentina. I think the odds pre-kick-off were broadly correct and it's no surprise to see most of the goons on Betfair totally flummoxed by them. Given the market movements in this tournament so far, I had hoped to lay Argentina at around 2.7 but I've left this game alone as I have a very strong bet on Germany at ante-post prices.

I'll be delighted if they make it through, partly because I'll be over in Dortmund on Tuesday and don't want to miss out on what has by all accounts been an awesome atmosphere so far. I only hope England can beat the Portuguese so we can continue the theme in Munich the following day, but I fear our chances are being overstated by the market.
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