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1qa2ws · 25th June 2006, 14:35

I think sometimes you get such a strong overreaction that a player suddenly becomes incredible value. I think we see it this week at Wimbledon.

Federer has been such a dominant force at Wimbledon the last three years that while his price has contracted, his opponents' prices have lengthened. IMO that makes Andy Roddick at 20.0 on Betfair such great value.

In the last three years the guy has lost three times to Federer, once in the semi's and twice in the final. Grass form does not get any better than that.

Federer has a tougher draw then usual for a number one, while Roddick should breeze through the first three rounds. Things get a little tougher for him after that with Grosjean and Hewitt but the guy is mustard on grass and I don't think it will have done him any harm to have been just a shade off the top of his game at Queens.

You're not going to be able to lay Federer at his skinny odds during the tournament but Roddick's price will come a tumbling once he starts racing through against inferior oppenents. He'll be down to 14-1/12-1 before you know it.

Just my opinion anyway.

25th June 2006, 14:35	#7 (permalink)
1qa2ws Gold Member Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 3,390	Re: Wimbledon 2006 I think sometimes you get such a strong overreaction that a player suddenly becomes incredible value. I think we see it this week at Wimbledon. Federer has been such a dominant force at Wimbledon the last three years that while his price has contracted, his opponents' prices have lengthened. IMO that makes Andy Roddick at 20.0 on Betfair such great value. In the last three years the guy has lost three times to Federer, once in the semi's and twice in the final. Grass form does not get any better than that. Federer has a tougher draw then usual for a number one, while Roddick should breeze through the first three rounds. Things get a little tougher for him after that with Grosjean and Hewitt but the guy is mustard on grass and I don't think it will have done him any harm to have been just a shade off the top of his game at Queens. You're not going to be able to lay Federer at his skinny odds during the tournament but Roddick's price will come a tumbling once he starts racing through against inferior oppenents. He'll be down to 14-1/12-1 before you know it. Just my opinion anyway. __________________ Think differently.