View Single Post
Old 17th June 2006, 20:05   #92 (permalink)
steved
Gold Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 895
Default Re: Individual Matches Thread

yes, it is FIFA rankings with 25 ranking points added to European sides and Argentina and Brazil...(that is a Pullein 'fudge' which sort of makes sense as comp is in Europe...)

Italy have 728 points, USA 756...add 25 to Italy to get 753 plays 756...expected supremacy '0.0'...% chance of win/draw lose 35/30/35...I think USA ranking in particular is way out...

I look at results in earlier rounds but do not have access to necessary committe of FIFA officials to adjust ranking...but I think it would only be small amount anyway...but I do scale my bets to these results...

Bets are in front, but lays are behind...for same reason as mentioned by you, favs are winning...

I am not 100% convinced myself, but it is a quick way to get a bit of fun on the footie, and i do not come to much/any harm by them...

FIFA are overhauling process after World Cup, so that will be interesting...I think they need a look...he says as selections go 0/2 for day so far...don't worry, the yanks will do the business!
steved is offline   Reply With Quote