swfc.

Evening folks, seems pretty wasteful as its quieter on this bronze forum than my social life!

Some links that may come in handy.

Webcam - Sydney Webcam - Sydney Harbour Australia Webcams Can normally see if rains about to hit the ground on that and the harbour cam.

Radars - Weather Radar Australia - Weather - NEWS.com.au

256 km Sydney Radar Loop

Now, one result I cannot see occuring is an Aussie win, so i'm goin in laying them at around 5/1. Even if they are agressive and declare early, I dont think they will have enough time in the day to bowl India out, even with the extra half hour at the start

Of course draw is looking like a cert, but i'm tempted to back India at current odds of 20/1 and hope punter sets an achievable target for India to chase. 320 in 70 overs is gettable if they get off to a good start. It's not a big liability, and could provide substantial trading opportunities, or it could not

Any opinions? I hope the links i've provided helps you with the weather situation.

swfc.

Or it might be worth waiting to see what punter sets, if India are still high odds chasing ODI style it could drop rather quickly as panic sets in.

bowler

Hi SWFC - you may remember me as former betfair forumite IB

Been sweet on the draw for a couple of days now. The pitch still seems to be playing reasonably well, and I feel if Ponting was serious about setting a target he wouldnt have walked his team off with overs to go last night

However, pressure is a funny thing and a few cheap wickets or a flying start (former more likely than the later) and the market may perceive somehting to happen

I suspect I will mainly be watching the NFL, whilst having a weather eye on Sydney

Good luck

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

swfc.

Hi IB, long time no see.

This is from someone on Betfair "hussey says on the radio they want 300 as qucik as possible then declare, hopefully within 12 overs! that would mean a run rate of only 3.25 the draw is gonna drift"

Hopefully Ponting wants to equal this record, and give us some entertainment and trading. From what i make out, we start on time though there is rain nearby.

swfc.

Oh and IB, what you think to the NFL tonight. You think Jacksonville will cover the handicap? Think i might just take them straight up.

bowler

Quite like the Jaguars, but its hard to come to Pittsburgh and win. Have traded a nice pre game position on the Jaguar plunge and I expect to trade that during the game. Also think overs could well come in too, both sides can rack up the points and their previous meeting this season was a high scoring affair - 51 points in horrible conditions

To aftertime - was on the 'Hawks and unders in the early game

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

swfc.

It is tough, but they've already done it this season, and the margin could have been greater if i recall correctly. I agree with overs, might have a small punt on overs.

As i speak, hussey reaches his ton and aussies seem to be batting for a declaration. Theres some rain very close to Sydney, just hope it misses.

bowler

Krumbly being cute by not taking the new ball - think the pacers could go at 6+ per over, whereas the spin boys will be around 4 rpo

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

swfc.

I'd be tempted to put seamers on and let them get the runs! They need a target to chase, and enough time to get them. Hmm, maybe that is a dodgy strategy.

Also think that if it rains anytime soon, we'll see punter declare.

swfc.

IB, if your going to aftertime, at least make sure the results guarenteed first! Hope the hawks come back to win for you though. Not got a bet on myself.

bowler

The beauty of being a trader sw - green long before the end of the first quarter

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

bowler

and thats the overs traded green in the Pittsburgh game after 5 minutes

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

swfc.

Same here..

Interesting the cricket now, India out of it. Think they'll find it hard to get tendulkar and ganguly's wickets, draw for me.

bowler

Ponting went on a tad too long - but he knew what he was doing to lose those 2 overs for the changeover

You got to think Jaffers wicket was almost a given - draw 1.2 at the start of the innings, 1.3 after the wicket and then back to 1.24 an over later. You got to wonder what Dinesh Karthik has to do to get a prolonged trot

__________________
What a surprise
They march off to war
Nothing to give
And nothing to score
It seems so dear
The final demand
Waterloo teeth from the ghost of a man

swfc.

Just shows, our bowling attack couldn't get Jaffer out. Shows the gulf in class. Yuvraj also looks well out of depth at this level, even though he got a ton against Pakistan couple of months back.

Momentum is a very strong weapon, if the aussies gain it, I can see an aussie win. Would say the crowd getting behind them, but it seems to be count the crowd.

swfc.

And another thing, Betfairs just getting tedious now. Weather ramp after ramp after ramp.