RickJ

Tues we were 0-2 for a -2.10 unit day. we lost the total by a half point..and seattle by 2.

This is clearly the biggest drawdown since I started this method. If you are exercising good
money management you should be fine. If not....this should be a lesson. No matter what methodology you are going to have drawdowns. We are only at 7 to 8 unit drawdown now...and I suspect somewhere along the line we will get at least a 15 unit drawdown...whether this is it only time will tell.

Also.....the only other concern I have is the nba sides. We are only +3.57 units on 112 plays....that is only an 3.19 percent return...I would suggest lowering your unit bet until we get back over a 5 to 7 percent return in the nba sides...also I am going to tighten a bit my parameters on nba sides.

So...today....looks like only 1 clear play in the nba this morning...

Golden state under 205.5 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 56-50-1 +3.57
o/u 19-12 +6.63

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 43 bets + 3.17 units +7.37% Return
Total 371 Bets + 41.98 units +11.29% Return

RickJ

Wedn we lost -105 units on the under on golden state. We were never in jeopardy of winning this bet.

Our high point so far has been +51.63 units and that was on jan 16th. So in 9 days we are on a 10.7 unit downswing. This is called variance or perhaps reversion to the mean The only question is where is the mean on this method..only time will tell.

Again good money management will keep you in the game....if you dont have it you really dont have a chance.

1 play in the nba today.....

Chicago +5.5 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 56-50-1 +3.57
o/u 19-13 +5.58

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 44 bets + 2.12 units +4.82% Return
Total 372 Bets + 40.93 units +11.00% Return

RickJ

Thurs we were +1.0 units with a win on chicago in the nba.

Today nothing i can see in the nhl but 3 plays in the nba.

Good Luck

Phil +5 -105
Milw +10.5 -105
Detroit/washington under 204.5 -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:
mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 57-50-1 +4.57
o/u 19-13 +5.58

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 45 bets + 3.12 units +6.93% Return
Total 373 Bets + 41.93 units +11.24% Return

RickJ

Friday we were +.95 units. We split on the sides.... milw hung in there and covered but phil couldnt despite the line dropping to phil even. Detroit under though was an easy winner.

When you get a big line move as in phil its best to lay off the game. The nba lines are pretty tight this time of the season...so usually cant fade more then .5 to 1 pt off these plays.

Today nothing in the nhl I can see...but 4 plays in the nba.

Lines as of 6.57 am pst

phil +4.5 -105
no +5 -105
Denver under 210 -105
Golden st under 211.5 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 58-51-1 +4.52
o/u 20-13 +6.58

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 48 bets + 4.07 units +8.48% Return
Total 376 Bets + 42.88 units +11.40% Return

RickJ

There were no plays yesterday...the day before we went 2-2 for -.10 units.

Today 1 play in the nba.....

denver under 214.5 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 60-51-1 +6.52
o/u 20-15 +4.48

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 52 bets + 3.97 units +7.63% Return
Total 380 Bets + 42.78 units +11.26% Return

RickJ

Monday we lost our total on the denver game by 2pts. So -1.05 units.

Today 1 play in the nba.....

Boston +9 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 60-51-1 +6.52
o/u 20-16 +3.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 53 bets + 2.95 units +5.53% Return
Total 381 Bets + 41.73 units +10.95% Return

RickJ

Thats what happens when i dont have my coffee in the morning..denver under was a winner

updated stats

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 60-51-1 +6.52
o/u 21-15 +5.48

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 53 bets + 4.97 units +8.48% Return
Total 381 Bets + 43.78 units +11.49% Return

RickJ

Tues we were +1.0 units when boston covered. Its nice to get a break our way with a last min run to cover the spread.

Today 3 plays in the nba

lines as of 7:28 pst

Boston +6 -105
Memphis+7.5 -105
Sacremento +5.5 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 61-51-1 +7.52
o/u 21-15 +5.48

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 54 bets + 5.97 units +11.05% Return

RickJ

Wedn we were +.95 units. We went 2-1 with bost failing to cover but sacr won outright as a dog and Memphis covered easily.

Jan was an interesting month. We started out on a 10-0 run...but then saw our first real draw down in 380 bets,,,it was an 11 unit drawdown. For those of you that have no money management in place it was probably a very difficult drawdown for you. A good positive expectation along with good money management is very hard to beat. Without both its very difficult to come out on top.

All in all though Jan was a good month...with 57 bets +6.92 units and a 12.14% return.

Today there are 2 plays 1 nba total and a rare nhl play

Good Luck

Phoenix under 208 -105
Edmonton +145

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-27 +6.31
Nba
Side 63-52-1 +8.47
o/u 21-15 +5.48

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Total 385 Bets + 45.73 units +11.87% Return

RickJ

Friday there were no plays. Thurs we went 1-1 for a 0 unit day.

Today there are 3 plays in the nba all totals and 1 nhl play.

wash under 217.5 -105
charlotte under 213.5 -105
phoenix under 217 -105

nhl
minnesota even

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-28 +5.31
Nba
Side 63-52-1 +8.47
o/u 22-15 +6.48

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 2 bets +0.00 units +0.00 Return
Total 387 Bets + 45.73 units +11.82% Return

RickJ

We had no plays on Sun and we were 3-1 Sat for +1.95 units.

Today 1 play in the nba

Denver +8 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-28 +6.31
Nba
Side 63-52-1 +8.47
o/u 24-16 +7.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 6 bets +1.95 units +32.66 Return
Total 391 Bets + 47.68units +12.19% Return

RickJ

Monday we had 1 play and it won for +1.0 units. Denver stayed close and covered a 7.5 point spread.

Today 1 play in the nba and 1 in the nhl

nba
Memphis +3 -105
nhl
la +190

Good Luck

RickJ

http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-28 +6.31
Nba
Side 64-52-1 +9.47
o/u 24-16 +7.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 7 bets +2.95 units +42.14 Return
Total 392 Bets + 48.68units +12.42% Return

RickJ

Monday we were 0-2 for -2.05 units. la in the nhl lost and Memphis in the nba lost.

Today 2 plays in the nba.

Boston +8.5 -105
laClippers +6 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-29 +5.31
Nba
Side 64-53-1 +8.42
o/u 24-16 +7.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 9 bets +.90 units +10.00% Return
Total 394 Bets + 46.63 units +11.83% Return

RickJ

Wedn we were 0-2 for -2.10 units. Boston played a good 1st quarter but faded after that. The clippers were never in it.

Today a light schedule in the nba and I dont see any plays there. In the nhl 1 play.

los angeles +140

good luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-29 +5.31
Nba
Side 64-55-1 +6.32
o/u 24-16 +7.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 11 bets -1.20 units -10.91% Return
Total 396 Bets + 44.53 units +11.24% Return

RickJ

Thurs we had the kings in the nhl. for the 2nd time in a few days we lost with the kings as big dogs in overtime

Today we have 2 plays in the nba.

Orlando +6.5 -105
Memphis under 215 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 64-55-1 +6.32
o/u 24-16 +7.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 12 bets -2.20 units -18.33% Return
Total 398 Bets + 43.53 units +10.94% Return

RickJ

Sat there were no plays. Friday we were 2-0 for +2.0 units. Memphis under won despite OT. And Orlando won the game outright as a 7.5 point dog.

Today 1 play in the nba....

Boston +8.5 -105

I know a lot of you are going to cringe about betting boston. And they may not cover...but some of the best values are on teams like boston..so I will be on them today.

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb(05-06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 65-55-1 +7.32
o/u 25-16 +8.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 14 bets -.20 units -1.42% Return
Total 402 Bets + 45.53 units +11.32% Return

RickJ

Monday there were no plays. Sunday we won with boston in the nba.

Today 2 plays in the nba

Milw +9 -105
New Jersey +7 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb(05-06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 66-55-1 +8.32
o/u 25-16 +8.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 15 bets +.80 units +5.33% Return
Total 403 Bets + 46.53 units +11.54% Return

RickJ

Tues we had 2 nba plays going 1-1. Milw lead most of the game and faded late but covered. New jersey never was in the game...although they made a nice run in the 4th..but then ran out of gas.

Today a busy slate but I can only find 1 nba play.

Sacramento +6 -105 ( You might want to wait a bit since it appears as of 8:30 am the line wants to go to 6.5)

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb(05-06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 67-56-1 +8.27
o/u 25-16 +8.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 17 bets +.75 units +4.41% Return
Total 405 Bets + 46.48 units +11.48% Return

RickJ

Wedn we had Sacramento and it lost for -1.05 units. They were never in the game.

Today there are only 2 games in the nba but we have plays on both....

houston +2.5 -105
Cleveland +7 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb(05-06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 67-57-1 +7.22
o/u 25-16 +8.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 18 bets -.30 units -1.66% Return
Total 406 Bets + 45.43 units +11.19% Return

RickJ

The first half of the nba season is over and its time to take a look at the nba to date:

sides: 68-58-1 +7.17 units...55% cover rate...5.64%return

Totals: 25-16 +8.43 units...61%cover rate...20.56%return

The sides are respectable ..the totals is great. For the second half of the season I am going to tweak the nba a bit more to attempt to both increase the cover percentage and also increase the return. I am going to keep the totals the same....

Today only 1 play in the nba so far:

Washington under 203 -105

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb(05-06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 29-30 +4.31
Nba
Side 68-58-1 +7.17
sides(2ndHalf)
o/u 25-16 +8.43

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14% Return
Feb: 20 bets -.35 units -1.75% Return
Total 408 Bets + 45.38 units +11.12% Return