RickJ

A good day yesterday. Dallas under 205 was a winner by almost 20 pts! That brings us to our highest percentage gain yet. 16.26% on 207 bets.

Things have been great..but let me discuss a second about draw down..or variance. Being a poker player it is generally accepted that your bankroll should be at least 300 big bets. Or if your playing 100-200 holdem ..60,000 to play day in and day out. The reason assuming you have a positive expectation in the game is variance or what some people call "running bad".

The same is true for sports betting. Even if you have a positive expectation variance will still require certain bankroll requirements.

So far we have had almost 0 draw down..everything has been pretty much straight up. But reality what it is dont get carried away with this and be conservative, expect ..anticipate a draw down and be prepared.

Good Luck!

22-Nov-06 Hockey
Colorado Avalanche for Game +106

22-Nov-06 Hockey
Phoenix Coyotes for Game +155

22-Nov-06 Basketball
Toronto Raptors (+3) for Game -110

22-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Miami Heat (+10) -105

22-Nov-06 9:30am
23-Nov-06 Football
Detroit Lions (+2.5) +105

26-Nov-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+3) -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 20-20 +2.56
Nba
Side 13-11 +1.71
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 207 Bets + 33.65 units +16.26% Return

RickJ

A good day yesterday. 1-1 in nba and 2-0 in nhl . Colorado came through for +106 and phoenix for +1.55!!

Only 1 nhl game today and nothing there. No nba and nothing in the other two nfl games. So a light day..for
a change. But Friday a full slate of nba and nhl. So will be working on that later.

These are more plays for this weekend. And today only have detroit +2.5 as previously posted.

Also another new high in % return. Now over 17 % on all plays!!

Good Luck!

4:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Louisville/Pittsburgh U (U 59) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Carolina/Clemson (U 46.5) -105

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Boise State/Nevada (U 57.5) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Spread UAB (+2.5) +106

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-3-1 +10.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 14-12 +1.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 211 Bets + 36.21units +17.16% Return

RickJ

Detroit it seemed never had a chance yesterday in the nfl. A full slate in nhl and nba but I could only find two plays that look good.

Also remember we have m/o tonight.

Good Luck

5:05pm
24-Nov-06 Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies (+2) for Game -107

4:35pm
24-Nov-06 Basketball
Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5) -108

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-21-1 +8.39
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 14-12 +1.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 212 Bets + 35.21units +16.61% Return

RickJ

A good day Friday. Although we lost miami ohio. Both memphis and philadelphia won by 15 as dogs in the nba.

A lot of plays saturday. Will be an interesting day.

Good Luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

5:05pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Minnesota Timberwolves (+4) -105

5:35pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Memphis Grizzlies (+10.5 -110


6:05pm
25-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Boston Celtics (+6) +102

7:35pm
25-Nov-06 Hockey
Los Angeles Kings +169

8:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Purdue/Hawaii (U 74) +102

12:30pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total BYU/Utah (U 55) -109

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Florida/West Virginia (U 54) -104

Previously posted ncaa fb plays for sat

4:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Louisville/Pittsburgh U (U 59) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Total South Carolina/Clemson (U 46.5) -105

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Boise State/Nevada (U 57.5) -105

9:00am
25-Nov-06 Football
Spread UAB (+2.5) +106

5:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Total Notre Dame/USC (U 57) for Game -111

1:00pm
25-Nov-06 Football
Nevada (+2.5) -102

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-22-1 +7.32
o/u 6-5 +.72
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 22-20 +5.17
Nba
Side 16-12 +3.66
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 215 Bets + 36.14units +16.81% Return

RickJ

Sat looked a lot worse then it was. We had 13 plays 9 of the plays were ncaa fb. And of those 9 we went 2-7. I put in a 12 hour day at the 40-80 mixed game at the Bellagio and had the misfortune of having to watch every ncaa fb game But then when I checked the nba and nhl we swept all four of those with la a +169 win in the nhl!
So it turned into a -.61 unit day. It really did feel a lot worse

An interesting aside....When I went to bed last night the score on the hawaii game was 17-0 at the half. They scored 60 in the second half to go over!

Any way....I could find nothing in the nba or nhl today...and two plays in the nfl. I posted buffalo previously.

10:00am
26-Nov-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+3) -105

5:15pm
26-Nov-06 Football
Philadelphia Eagles (+9.5) -110

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 14-4-1 +9.90
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 23-20 +6.86
Nba
Side 19-12 +6.68
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 228 Bets + 35.53 units +15.58% Return

RickJ

Today was a light day with two nfl plays splitting. Buffalo won fairly easily and although Phily came within 10 in the 4th quarter they couldnt stop the drive that would of given them a chance to cover.

So a split...for -.10 units.

Light day monday. Nothing yet in the nba but what looks like a good value play in the nhl.


7:05pm
27-Nov-06 Hockey
Los Angeles Kings for Game +150

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 23-20 +6.86
Nba
Side 19-12 +6.68
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 230 Bets + 35.43 units +15.40% Return

RickJ

A light day yesterday with one nhl play..but the kings came through for a +1.50 win in OT!

I looked over the nhl today...nothing there that I could see. Two plays in the nba and two early ncaafb plays.

Good Luck!

11:30am
2-Dec-06 Football
Navy (-20.5) for Game -104

4:00pm
2-Dec-06 Football
Florida Intl (+11.5) -105

6:05pm
28-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread Memphis Grizzlies (+9 )-106

7:35pm
28-Nov-06 Basketball
Total Milwaukee Bucks/Los Angeles Lakers (U 202) -108

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 19-12 +6.68
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 231 Bets + 36.93 units +15.99% Return

RickJ

I have been working too hard!
Misposted the army navy game

play should be


Army 2-December-2006 11:30 AM PST
Spread +19.5 -110

Sorry

RickJ
rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com

teamsports

Thks for your diligence ..

I have started looking at the this thread, it seems v hopeful.

Cheers, gl with the 40/80

RickJ

Thanks..... so far i have been a lot hotter on sports then the 40/80 game

But that can change at the drop of a pin

RickJ

RickJ

Memphis came through tonight and won by 12 as a 9 point dog!! We still have lakers under 202 pending for tonight..

Two early plays for tomorrow. Just just placed these on the overnight line.

Good Luck

4:05pm
29-Nov-06 Basketball
Spread New York Knicks (+10.5) +102

6:05pm
29-Nov-06 Basketball
Total Houston Rockets/Phoenix Suns (U 199.5) for Game -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 20-12 +7.68
o/u 8-3 +4.94

Total 232 Bets + 37.93 units +16.35% Return

RickJ

La went over last night for a 1-1 day in the nba.

2 more nba plays this morning...So we have two from last night..4 plays total tonight



Houston Rockets 29-November-2006 6:05 PM PST
Spread +7.5 for Game +102


Indiana Pacers/Golden State Warriors 29-November-2006 7:35 PM PST
Total Points UNDER 203.5 for Game -105

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 20-12 +7.68
o/u 8-4 +3.86

Total 233 Bets + 36.85 units +15.81% Return

RickJ

After a quiet day yesterday with no plays, today has 3 nba plays. Nothing in the nhl again today that I can see. Also I have noticed that not only the nhl lines but the nba lines are getting much sharper. So I dont anticipate it will be as easy in Dec as it was in Nov. So...be prepared!

I also have two totals for ncaa fb..and yes again I am going with under on hawaii! Even after they scored 60 in the second half to beat me last week. I am a tough learner

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

6:05pm
1-Dec-06 Basketball
Total Milwaukee Bucks/Phoenix Suns (U 216) for Game +101

7:35pm
1-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Indiana Pacers (+3) vs Seattle Supersonics for Game +100

4:05pm
1-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Boston Celtics (+3.5) vs Toronto Raptors for Game -103

9:00am
2-Dec-06 Football
Total Rutgers/West Virginia (U 50) for Game -102

9:00pm
2-Dec-06 Football
Total Oregon State/Hawaii (U 70) for Game +103 200.00 206.00

Previously posted ncaa fb plays

4:00pm
2-Dec-06 Football
Spread Troy vs Florida Intl (+11.5) for Game -105

11:30am
2-Dec-06 Football
Spread Army (+19.5) vs Navy for Game -110

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 21-13 +7.70
o/u 9-5 +3.81

Total 237 Bets + 36.82 units +15.53% Return

RickJ

NBA Basketball
New Orleans Hornets 1-December-2006 5:05 PM PST
Spread +3.5 for Game -102


All factors came in line a few min ago...a play!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

RickJ

Right now for thursdays plays we are 1-2 with indiana +3 still pending. I worked these up tonight since I have found that the lines usually work against me the next day.

Good Luck

1:05pm
2-Dec-06 Hockey
Money Anaheim Ducks vs Los Angeles Kings for Game +186

4:35pm
2-Dec-06 Hockey
Money New Jersey Devils vs Philadelphia Flyers for Game +142

7:35pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Los Angeles Clippers (-2.5) for Game -107

5:35pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers (+6) -107

5:05pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Toronto Raptors (+3) -110

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to datethurs results not included)

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 21-13 +7.70
o/u 9-5 +3.81

Total 237 Bets + 36.82 units +15.53% Return

RickJ

Just when I said the lines were getting solid I have 5 nba plays tonight and 2 nhl plays! And they all look pretty good compared to Thurs plays.

We went 2-2 Thursday. 3 nailbiters...winning two of them and losing the other by 1/2 point. The total on the phoenix game was never close to being a win.

Also remember we have 4 college football games today previously posted. So thats 11 plays in all for the day.

3 plays tomorrow in the nfl and I dont see anymore plays coming up in the nfl

Good Luck


6:05pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Indiana Pacers (+7) -109

6:05pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Seattle Supersonics (+ +101


10:00am
3-Dec-06 Football
Cleveland Browns (+5) for Game -107

10:00am
3-Dec-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+6) for Game -103

5:30pm
4-Dec-06 Football
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) for Game -103

Previously posted nba+nhl plays:

1:05pm
2-Dec-06 Hockey
Money Anaheim Ducks vs Los Angeles Kings for Game +186

4:35pm
2-Dec-06 Hockey
Money New Jersey Devils vs Philadelphia Flyers for Game +142

7:35pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Los Angeles Clippers (-2.5) for Game -107

5:35pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Cleveland Cavaliers (+6) -107

5:05pm
2-Dec-06 Basketball
Spread Toronto Raptors (+3) -110

Previously posted ncaa fb plays:

9:00am
2-Dec-06 Football
Total Rutgers/West Virginia (U 50) for Game -102

9:00pm
2-Dec-06 Football
Total Oregon State/Hawaii (U 70) for Game +103 200.00 206.00

4:00pm
2-Dec-06 Football
Spread Troy vs Florida Intl (+11.5) for Game -105

11:30am
2-Dec-06 Football
Spread Army (+19.5) vs Navy for Game -110

Good Luck
RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 29-24-1 +5.30
o/u 8-10 -2.58
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 23-14 +8.67
o/u 9-6 +2.81

Total 241 Bets + 36.79 units +15.26% Return

Rosebud

[quote=RickJ]
I've had to use UK bookies to place these bets RickJ.
I've got:
Indiana Pacers (+7) -110 Betdirect
Seattle Supersonics (+8.5) -110 Betdirect
LA Clippers (-2.5) -110
Cleveland Cavs (+6.5) -110 Stan James
Toronto Raptors (+3.5) -110 Betdirect

See how we go, Cheers Rick

RickJ

Rosebud,

Its very tough to beat a -110 line....there are many options out there where you should be able to do better then that. Just by switching to a -105 line saves you 2.5%..thats huge over the course of a season......

The play I am posting today isnt a play at -110 ...its that close....

RickJ

RickJ

We had 11 plays yesterday... 2-2 in ncaa fb, 2-3 in the nba, and 0-2 in the nhl for a - 3.29 unit day. That is the worst day that we have had since I started posting. The good news is I have reached the 250 bet plateau and am over 13% return. As I indicated before my goal at 1000 bets is 5 to 10 % return. So am on track so far.

Nothing in the nhl today and 1 nba play. Plus the 3 prevously posted nfl plays


Atlanta Hawks 3-December-2006 6:05 PM PST
Spread +2 for Game +100

Previously posted nfl plays:

10:00am
3-Dec-06 Football
Cleveland Browns (+5) for Game -107

10:00am
3-Dec-06 Football
Buffalo Bills (+6) for Game -103

5:30pm
4-Dec-06 Football
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) for Game -103

Good Luck

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 30-25-1 +5.25
o/u 9-11 -2.56
nfl
Sides 15-5-1 +9.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 25-17 +7.45
o/u 9-6 +2.81

Total 252 Bets + 33.50 units +13.29% Return

RickJ

A good day yesterday....2-0 in the nfl and Atlanta won by 12 as a 2 pt dog in the nba..so a 3-0 day!

I dont see much else....so 3 more plays today.

Good luck!

Selection 1: NBA Basketball
Milwaukee Bucks 4-December-2006 6:05 PM PST
Spread +7.5 for Game +100

Selection 2: NBA Basketball
Milwaukee Bucks/Utah Jazz 4-December-2006 6:05 PM PST
Total Points UNDER 207.5 for Game -108

Previously posted nfl play:

5:30pm
4-Dec-06 Football
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) for Game -103

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 30-25-1 +5.25
o/u 9-11 -2.56
nfl
Sides 17-5-1 +11.80
o/u 6-3 +2.83
nhl
sides 24-20 +8.36
Nba
Side 26-17 +8.45
o/u 9-6 +2.81

Total 255 Bets + 36.50 units +14.31% Return